Strategic Foresight

Strategic foresight, or futures analysis (or la prospective in French) is one of my primary expertise. I would define it as the state of mind that leads you to account for a longer time horizon and a broader set of trends and phenomena in your decision-making process. This is of interest to all types of activities and industries. My recent book, Architects of Change, discusses the topic at length.

You can also check out my MOOC on Coursera. Here is a brief presentation of the MOOC:

 

I've also extensively written on the topic. Here is a selection of pieces.

Selected Publications

Architects of Change: Designing Strategies for a Turbulent Business Environment, Palgrave Macmillan, 2019. Available here.

“Making Strategic Analysis Matter” in Thomas Juneau (Ed.), Strategic Analysis in Support of International Policy Making, Rowman & Littlefield, 2017 (co-authored with Gregory Treverton). Available here.

Strategy in a Chaotic World: The Geopolitics of Amazon, 2017. Available here.

Staying West or Turning East? A New Greek Tragedy, 2016. Available here.

Education, technology and connectedness: Global Societal Trends to 2030, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2015 (co-authored with Veronika Horvath, Dmitry Khodyakov and Ohid Yaqub). Available here.

Employment and the changing labour market: Global Societal Trends to 2030, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2015 (co-authored with Barbara Janta, Nora Ratzmann, Dmitry Khodyakov and Ohid Yaqub). Available here.

Individual empowerment: Global Societal Trends to 2030, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2015 (co-authored with Marlon Graf, Dmitry Khodyakov and Ohid Yaqub). Available here.

The Days After Tomorrow: North Korea Has Fallen, 2015. Available here.

Europe’s Societal Challenges: An analysis of global societal trends to 2030 and their impact on the EU, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2013 (co-authored with Stijn Hoorens, Benoit Guerin, Daniel Schweppenstedde, Tess Hellgren, Veronika Horvath, Marlon Graf, Barbara Janta, Samuel Drabble and Svitlana Kobzar). Available here.

Making Strategic Analysis Matter, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2012 (co-authored with Gregory Treverton). Available here.