Publications

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Books, Monographs and Reports

Economic Decoupling and its Implications, American Chamber of Commerce - HEC Paris White Book, 2021. Available here.

Architects of Change: Designing Strategies for a Turbulent Business Environment, Palgrave Macmillan, 2019. Available here.

Etats-Unis: Déclin Improbable, Rebond Impossible, VA Press, 2018. Available here.

Defence and security after Brexit: A snapshot of international perspectives on the implications of the UK's decision to leave the EU, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2017 (co-authored with Magdalena Kirchner, Michael Shurkin, Anna Knack, Alexandra Hall and James Black). Available here.

Education, technology and connectedness: Global Societal Trends to 2030, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2015 (co-authored with Veronika Horvath, Dmitry Khodyakov and Ohid Yaqub). Available here.

Employment and the changing labour market: Global Societal Trends to 2030, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2015 (co-authored with Barbara Janta, Nora Ratzmann, Dmitry Khodyakov and Ohid Yaqub). Available here.

Individual empowerment: Global Societal Trends to 2030, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2015 (co-authored with Marlon Graf, Dmitry Khodyakov and Ohid Yaqub). Available here.

Europe’s Societal Challenges: An analysis of global societal trends to 2030 and their impact on the EU, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2013 (co-authored with Stijn Hoorens, Benoit Guerin, Daniel Schweppenstedde, Tess Hellgren, Veronika Horvath, Marlon Graf, Barbara Janta, Samuel Drabble and Svitlana Kobzar). Available here.

Making Strategic Analysis Matter, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2012 (co-authored with Gregory Treverton). Available here.

Alliances in the 21st Century: Implications for the US-European partnership, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2011. Available here.

NATO's Strategic Communications concept and its relevance for France, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2011 (co-authored with Anais Reding and Kristin Weed). Available here.

Deradicalizing Islamist Extremists, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2010 (co-authored with Angel Rabasa, Stacie L. Pettyjohn and Christopher Boucek). Available here.

The Enduring Partnership? The Trans-Atlantic Community as a Natural Alliance, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2010. Available here

Saudi-Iranian Relations Since the Fall of Saddam: Rivalry, Cooperation, and Implications for U.S. Policy, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2009. Available here.

Chapters

“L’économie, clé de l’élection ? Un bilan contrasté de la présidence Trump,” IdeAs – Idées d’Amériques, Automne 2020. Available here.

“Interprétation du rêve américain” in Jean-Eric Branaa (Ed.), La présidence de Barack Obama (2009-2017), Editions Ellipses, 2019. Available here.

“Making Strategic Analysis Matter” in Thomas Juneau (Ed.), Strategic Analysis in Support of International Policy Making, Rowman & Littlefield, 2017 (co-authored with Gregory Treverton). Available here.

Articles

“Chine et États-Unis : comment en est-on arrivé là ?,” The Conversation, March 1, 2022. Available here.

“La « Grande Vague » d’Hokusai, une image pour penser notre avenir?,” The Conversation, August 12, 2021. Available here.

“Le dynamisme de l’économie américaine, un argument de campagne risqué pour Donald Trump,” The Conversation, December 5, 2019. Available here.

“Et si Trump cherchait à être destitué,” Forbes, March 15, 2019. Available here.

“The rise of the global rejectionist party,” The Conversation, April 25, 2018. Available here.

“The Days after the Fall of North Korea: View(s) from the Business Community,” Asan Institute for Policy Studies, October 17, 2014 (co-authored with Kim Chong Woo). Available here.

“France and NATO,” Survival, Vol. 51, Issue 2, April 2009 (co-authored with S. Larrabee). Available here.

"America vs. America," Le Meilleur des Mondes, 23 octobre 2008. Disponible ici.

"A New Anti-American Coalition," RAND Review, Vol. 32, No. 2, Summer 2008 (co-authored with Theodore Karasik and Brian Nichiporuk). Available here.

"Réflexion sur la résilience démocratique," Le Meilleur des Mondes, 18 octobre 2007 (co-écrit avec Sacha Bourgeois Gironde). Disponible ici.

Case Studies

The 2015 Case Centre award winner in the Economics, Politics and Business Environment category: The Economics of Amazon, 2014. Available here and featured here. A new and updated case study is here.

Strategy in a Chaotic World: The Geopolitics of Amazon, 2017. Available here.

Oil: Betting on Prices After the 'Big Drop', 2016. Available here.

Staying West or Turning East? A New Greek Tragedy, 2016. Available here.

The Days After Tomorrow: North Korea Has Fallen, 2015. Available here.